An Israeli Take On Donald Trump August 5, 2015August 10, 2015 My friend Yoni translated this commentary from Haaretz for me. As we all look forward to the first Republican debate tomorrow, it strikes me as insightful: Republicans caught in Donald Trump’s reality show Chemi Shalev 07.28.2015 | 14:17 Americans just discovered they are trapped in the New York billionaire’s program. He is its director, presenter, and possibly its winner. The Republican Party stands helpless against a hostile takeover of its image The hero of the famous movie “The Truman Show,” starring Jim Carrey, discovers that his life is conducted in the virtual reality of a reality show that the whole world is watching. In Trump’s show the principle is similar but reversed: here it is America in general and the Republican Party in particular, that is trapped in a reality show whose director, presenter, and possibly winner is New York billionaire Donald Trump. For now, the man the media treats as a walking joke, leads the polls against all other Republican presidential candidates. In Iowa, where the first primary elections will be held on February 1, 2016, Trump is quickly closing the gap with the current front runner, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker. In New Hampshire, which will hold the primaries a week later, Trump has already deposed former Florida Governor Jeb Bush and is opening a gap over his rivals. The Democrats are enjoying every minute of it, but Republicans have long ago stopped laughing. So far, the main victims of Trump’s success are political commentators, whose forecasts of Trump’s fast evaporation from the Republican race evaporated even faster; The Republican Party, which stands helpless in the face of Trump’s hostile takeover of its voice, image, and screen time; All 15 presidential candidates, who have been pushed out of sight; And the political discourse in America, currently being conducted under the shadow of blunt, simplistic, and racist statements made by Trump. The jet fuel for the 69-year-old’s takeoff is provided by the media, especially television networks, who are broadcasting and crying. Commentators cluck their tongues at Trump’s exploits but at the same time provide him with enthusiastic 24/7 coverage, at the expense of the other candidates and the serious issues on the agenda, including the agreement with Iran. Quite a few Republicans are talking about a liberal media conspiracy – to identify the entire Republican Party with Trump in order to hurt the GOP’s chances of winning the presidency. Indeed, in the six weeks since he announced he was joining the race, Trump has already caused significant damage to the republicans. That damage has doubled due to the lukewarm condemnation by his rivals, fearful of upsetting Trump’s supporters. The most severe damage he imposed on the GOP comes from his repeated comments about Mexican illegal immigrants being mostly “thugs, rapists and drug dealers.” This message is applauded among immigrant-hating whites, but infuriates the Hispanic community. Without a sizable chunk of Hispanic votes the Republicans will see the White House only from the outside. The media’s obsessive preoccupation with Trump stifles any hope Republicans had of focusing on criticizing President Obama. It dwarfs the other candidates, like Bush, Walker and Marco Rubio, and paints them pale and hesitant compared with the blunt and colorful real estate mogul; And it stresses the less known candidates, making them escalate their rhetoric and use silly gimmicks to gain a little media coverage and keep their heads above water. In recent days, as the date of the first televised debate of the party approaches, the hysteria of the laggards has grown considerably. Due to the many candidates and the difficulty of putting them all on one stage, Fox and CNN decided to limit participation to the ten candidates leading the polls. Candidates who lag behind know that if they don’t make it to the debate their campaign is over: they attack The Donald to bask in the margins of his fame, but usually they only come out injured. Trump – his plebeian style, venomous tongue, and confidence soaring – sends poisoned arrows toward his rivals, pushing them out of balance. Sen. Lindsey Graham is an idiot, Trump declared; Trump is an ass, replied the Senator; Take his phone number, Trump offered; Graham, a leading member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, turned himself into a D-list entertainer, uploading a YouTube video in which he smashes his cellphone in every possible way. He is a cancer in conservatism’s body, attacked Governor Rick Perry; Trump silenced him by declaring he is hiding his stupidity behind his glasses. The preacher and former governor Mike Huckabee regained the spotlight over the weekend by saying Obama, “is leading Israel in to the crematorium” with his nuclear deal with Iran. Obama replied, and many Republicans agreed, that “this statement would have been ridiculous if it were not so sad.” Pollsters and experts still do not believe Trump will keep the first place beyond the debate and first primaries: his campaign benefitted from his celebrity status, they claim, but when the moment of truth arrives the Republicans will go with a realistic candidate. But perhaps the commentators still misinterpret the political tea leaves? Trump is able to connect with the same radical, anti-establishment, anarchistic mood that led to the Tea Party victories in 2010. As New York Times Columnist, Timothy Egan, wrote earlier this week, Trump is not an exception but a “poison Republicans have concocted for themselves”: He feeds off the xenophobia, fear of minorities, rejection of liberal values, and hatred of Obama which Republicans have cultivated for the last decade. While they condemned Trump when he questioned John McCain’s heroism, they ignored his ongoing refusal to recognize Obama’s birth certificate. Trump the wild redhead embodies the tiger the Republicans rode this far and now find it hard to get off. He is a hero to those who want to “burn down the club,” who do not trust democracy, and are not prepared to hear more hollow slogans of established politicians like Bush or Rubio or Walker. They prefer someone who speaks frankly, in everyday language. This phenomenon exists, in a more subtle version, among Democrats, much to the delight of left-wing Senator Bernie Sanders and much to the chagrin of Hillary Clinton. Seventeen years ago, the Director of “The Truman Show”, described the magic of reality TV. The same magic which Trump built his fame and from which it draws, even now, his success: “Players with fake emotions bore us. We’re tired of pyrotechnics and special effects. The world Truman lived in was perhaps fake, but not Truman. He had no script or pre-conceived slogans. It’s not Shakespeare, but it’s totally real.” The two debates tomorrow should be fascinating — first the “kid’s table” debate, then the main one. And as if those weren’t reason enough to stay home, they will be followed, as you doubtless know, by Jon Stewart’s final Daily Show. What a void that will leave, unless John Oliver can somehow be persuaded to take it over after the next guy fails. (The next guy may be terrific; it’s not his fault; give him the time slot right before, or something. But the only two people I can imagine filling Jon Stewart’s shoes are: Jon Stewart and John Oliver.)
Barney On Bernie August 4, 2015August 2, 2015 I am enthusiastically neutral among all our fine Democratic candidates — knowing that whichever one gets the nomination will be miles ahead (in my view) of the Republican. That’s not blind partisanship; that’s a recognition that their nominee would appoint Supreme Court justices like the ones the Bushes appointed (Clarence Thomas, John Roberts, and Sam Alito*) where ours would appoint justices like the ones Clinton and Obama appointed (Ginsburg and Breyer; Kagan and Sotomayor). And that their nominee would favor the powerful and wealthy at a time when the pendulum has already swung too far their way. My long-time hero Barney Frank (“How did a disheveled, intellectually combative gay Jew with a thick accent become one of the most effective (and funniest) politicians of our time?“) also wants a Democrat to win . . . . . . and offers this particular point of view. *With whom, at a swank function populated almost entirely by Democrats, I once had the pleasure of speaking for five minutes — mainly about the weather — assuming he was a mega-donor whose familiar face I knew I knew, but couldn’t quite place. “So what did you and Justice Alito talk about?” the friend who’d introduced us — “Andy, you know my classmate Sam?” — asked later that evening.
David Brooks On The Happy Gene August 3, 2015August 2, 2015 He doesn’t call it that (here, in the New York Times) . . . and it’s actually a lot more than that. It’s a recognition (from a moderate conservative) that as Elizabeth Warren and Barack Obama have famously said, “you didn’t build that alone.” We’re all in this together, profiting enormously from advantages not of our own making. If all conservatives were this thoughtful, our politics would be a great deal less polarized and coarse; America, more successful. In case you missed it: The Structure of Gratitude July 28, 2015 By David Brooks I’m sometimes grumpier when I stay at a nice hotel. I have certain expectations about the service that’s going to be provided. I get impatient if I have to crawl around looking for a power outlet, if the shower controls are unfathomable, if the place considers itself too fancy to put a coffee machine in each room. I’m sometimes happier at a budget motel, where my expectations are lower, and where a functioning iron is a bonus and the waffle maker in the breakfast area is a treat. This little phenomenon shows how powerfully expectations structure our moods and emotions, none more so than the beautiful emotion of gratitude. Gratitude happens when some kindness exceeds expectations, when it is undeserved. Gratitude is a sort of laughter of the heart that comes about after some surprising kindness. Most people feel grateful some of the time — after someone saves you from a mistake or brings you food during an illness. But some people seem grateful dispositionally. They seem thankful practically all of the time. These people may have big ambitions, but they have preserved small anticipations. As most people get on in life and earn more status, they often get used to more respect and nicer treatment. But people with dispositional gratitude take nothing for granted. They take a beginner’s thrill at a word of praise, at another’s good performance or at each sunny day. These people are present-minded and hyperresponsive. This kind of dispositional gratitude is worth dissecting because it induces a mentality that stands in counterbalance to the mainstream threads of our culture. We live in a capitalist meritocracy. This meritocracy encourages people to be self-sufficient — masters of their own fate. But people with dispositional gratitude are hyperaware of their continual dependence on others. They treasure the way they have been fashioned by parents, friends and ancestors who were in some ways their superiors. They’re glad the ideal of individual autonomy is an illusion because if they were relying on themselves they’d be much worse off. The basic logic of the capitalist meritocracy is that you get what you pay for, that you earn what you deserve. But people with dispositional gratitude are continually struck by the fact that they are given far more than they pay for — and are much richer than they deserve. Their families, schools and summer camps put far more into them than they give back. There’s a lot of surplus goodness in daily life that can’t be explained by the logic of equal exchange. Capitalism encourages us to see human beings as self-interested, utility-maximizing creatures. But people with grateful dispositions are attuned to the gift economy where people are motivated by sympathy as well as self-interest. In the gift economy intention matters. We’re grateful to people who tried to do us favors even when those favors didn’t work out. In the gift economy imaginative empathy matters. We’re grateful because some people showed they care about us more than we thought they did. We’re grateful when others took an imaginative leap and put themselves in our mind, even with no benefit to themselves. Gratitude is also a form of social glue. In the capitalist economy, debt is to be repaid to the lender. But a debt of gratitude is repaid forward, to another person who also doesn’t deserve it. In this way each gift ripples outward and yokes circles of people in bonds of affection. It reminds us that a society isn’t just a contract based on mutual benefit, but an organic connection based on natural sympathy — connections that are nurtured not by self-interest but by loyalty and service. If you think that human nature is good and powerful, then you go around frustrated because the perfect society has not yet been achieved. But if you go through life believing that our reason is not that great, our individual skills are not that impressive, and our goodness is severely mottled, then you’re sort of amazed life has managed to be as sweet as it is. You’re grateful for all the institutions our ancestors gave us, like the Constitution and our customs, which shape us to be better than we’d otherwise be. Appreciation becomes the first political virtue and the need to perfect the gifts of others is the first political task. We live in a capitalist meritocracy that encourages individualism and utilitarianism, ambition and pride. But this society would fall apart if not for another economy, one in which gifts surpass expectations, in which insufficiency is acknowledged and dependence celebrated. Gratitude is the ability to see and appreciate this other almost magical economy. G. K. Chesterton wrote that “thanks are the highest form of thought, and that gratitude is happiness doubled by wonder.” People with grateful dispositions see their efforts grandly but not themselves. Life doesn’t surpass their dreams but it nicely surpasses their expectations. Thank you, thank you, thank you.
A Clip An App An Ad And A Stat July 31, 2015July 30, 2015 SOME LANGUAGES . . . . . . are more melifluous than others. Have you seen this clip? (No offense meant; it’s just funny.) ACLU APP And what if you see some police action in progress that doesn’t conform to the high standards most officers strive to uphold? And you start filming with your iPhone, and he sees you doing that and grabs your iPhone and stomps on it. There’s an app for that! REXONA AD I don’t know whether this stuff is even sold in America — oh wait, it is (not cheap) — but take a minute to see the sweat they obviously put into making this commercial. EATING FREE Joel Grow: “[Speaking of food and water waste], have you seen the FABulous documentary Just Eat It? A couple decides to eat only what they can get free, mostly by going out back at the grocery store. They get more than they can use of food that’s only a bit past the ‘best by’ dates and so is thrown out. That, and carrots that aren’t straight, or squash that’s not perfectly green, etc. The film says that . . . wait for it . . . just the water used to grow the food we throw away in the U.S. would be enough to meet the water needs of 500 million people. I re-wound it a couple of times to make sure I was hearing it accurately. (And really? YOUR FRIENDS TAKE ONE SIP OF BEER BUT DON’T FINISH IT!!!??? ARE THEY CRAZY???!!!)” ☞ They’re not crazy; they just get distracted, put it down, forget which is theirs, and crack a new one. SIGA Mark L.: “Any updated thoughts on SIGA, now SIGAQ? I see it trading today to fresh 10-year lows and am contemplating taking the loss (from $2.86 I paid in July 2013) mostly just so I don’t have to watch it any more.” ☞ My only thought is that it’s been bid up out of irrational enthusiasm. So possibly — possibly! — the reverse is true . . . witness your rationale for selling (“mostly just so I don’t have to watch it any more”) . . . and possibly — possibly! — patience will triumph in the end. So I hang on — with pretty enormous paper losses by now — and have even bought a little more at these prices, albeit only with money I can truly afford to lose. Have a great weekend!
Corn July 30, 2015July 30, 2015 Every summer I try to improve on my recipe. (It’s for the perennially-forthcoming best-seller, Cooking Like A Guy™.) I thought I had peaked at: “The easiest way to cook corn — if it’s really sweet and fresh — is not to. Just shuck and eat. No cooking at all!” How do you improve on that? It’s delicious! And quick! Why heat things up in the summer?! (And who eats corn on the cob any time but the summer?) Why waste money on fuel of one sort or another to cook? And have a pot and utensils to clean? Yet — without meaning to sound triumphal — I think I have just topped myself. Minutes ago, I had shucked my ear of corn and was inches away from first chomp (I start from the right and chomp left, as if dining in Arabic or Hebrew) when . . . informed by a bolt of insight that comes rarely and from who-knows-where . . . I realized how to solve the salt problem. (Salt just bounces off raw corn and guys don’t have time to melt butter.) But wait!!! (Do you see where I’m going here?) I poured a little olive oil on my ear of corn, which necessarily dripped off onto the wood cutting board I was using as my plate . . . then sprinkled on some sea salt, some of which did bounce onto the cutting board but much of which stuck . . . then rolled the corn around on the salty-olive-oily cutting board (if there is anything better than salty oil, it is not yet known to man) . . . and then chomped right to left. The extra time, effort, and expense were completely trivial — seconds and a penny or two — but oh was it good. Enjoy the rest of your summer.
Note To Music Lovers July 29, 2015July 28, 2015 BRAIN APP I spend way too much time on my iPhone playing Words With Friends. If I were smart — and wanted to get smarter (or at least sharper, as verified by numerous peer-reviewed studies) — I would use at least part of that time to exercise my brain instead. (Turns out, crossword puzzles and stuff like that, presumably including WWF, don’t improve acuity.) Just go to the App Store and search for BrainHQ. It’s free. [Full disclosure: as long-term readers know, I own a sliver (more like a shard, really) of the company.] BEETHOVEN Thanks, Mel! A tourist in Vienna is going through a graveyard and all of a sudden he hears music. No one is around, so he starts searching for the source. He finally locates the origin and finds it is coming from a grave with a headstone that reads: “Ludwig van Beethoven, 1770- 1827.” Then he realizes that the music is Beethoven’s Ninth Symphony and it is being played backward! Puzzled, he leaves the graveyard and persuades a friend to return with him. By the time they arrive back at the grave, the music has changed. This time it is the Seventh Symphony, but like the previous piece, it is being played backwards. Curious, the men agree to consult a music scholar. When they return with the expert, the Fifth Symphony is playing, again backwards. By the next day the word has spread, and a crowd has gathered around the grave. They are all listening to the Second Symphony being played backward. Just then the graveyard’s caretaker ambles up to the group. Someone in the group asks him if he has an explanation for the music. “I would have thought it was obvious,” the caretaker says: “He’s decomposing.” WASTE NOT, WANT NOT Chris Anderson: “I wonder about what you wrote Friday: ‘I… top the bowl of leftovers with … the plastic bags my shirts come in from the cleaner.’ Do you not have a problem with the chemicals used to dry-clean clothing or the cost per shirt vs. washing and ironing your own? Do you really *need* shirts which can’t be laundered with your 20-year old Costco rags? Does the income and economy-stimulation/job-creation generated by your wearing said shirts actually offset the cost to the environment and your budget? (Some of that last question was possibly slightly sarcastic…) :)” ☞ And someone else wondered whether I wasn’t worried about those chemicals gradually poisoning me. But the bags have no dry-cleaning chemical smell, and, yes, I haven’t bought a Zip-Lock or other commercial baggie in years. As to the drycleaning itself, well, when I have to be a grown-up in a suit and tie, I do wear dry-cleaned shirts. Fortunately, especially in the summer, I can generally get away with being 12. Gray Chang: “I reuse paper towels from the restroom at work. After all, since I’ve just washed my hands, the paper towel is damp with clean water, right? So I take it back to my desk and leave it out to dry, then put it in my pocket to reuse again, and so on. At lunch it becomes my napkin, and later, a spill cleaner. Even when I reuse it just once, I’m cutting my consumption by 50%.”
If You Support Israel . . . July 28, 2015 . . . you should think the “Iran deal” through a lot better than critics like Mike Huckabee or Marco Rubio have. (E.g., “Marco Rubio says Iran deal means we have to help defend Iran from Israel or other allies” — except, as the article makes clear, no, it doesn’t.) The best way to think it through, as suggested at the time, may be to watch the President’s news conference. He lays it all out and addresses the objections. See what you think of his answers. They made sense to me. But here’s another little piece for your consideration, issued by the White House last week: Why U.S. and Israeli security leaders and experts support the Iran deal: Last week, President Obama announced that the U.S. and our international partners reached a historic deal that will verifiably prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. It demonstrates that America’s diplomatic leadership can bring about meaningful and lasting change that makes America and the world safer by protecting our national security as well as the security of our key allies, especially Israel. Within hours of the deal’s announcement, President Obama phoned Prime Minister Netanyahu to emphasize the United States’ unwavering commitment to Israel’s security — a commitment that the agreement furthers by removing the specter of a nuclear-armed Iran. Here’s a readout of that call. The President made clear that he wouldn’t settle for anything less than a deal that blocks every pathway Iran could use to build a nuclear weapon. We got that and more. That is why several key Israeli security experts, including former generals and former heads of the Mossad and the Shin Bet, have come it in support of this deal. They include Efraim Halevy, who formerly headed both the Mossad and Israel’s National Security Council, who wrote that, “Without an agreement, Iran will be free to act as it wishes, whereas the sanctions regime against it will crumble in any case.” They include Ami Ayalon, the former head of the Shin Bet and former Navy commander-in-chief, who wrote that the that the deal “is the best possible alternative from Israel’s point of view, given the other available alternative… In the Middle East, 10 to 15 years is an eternity, and I don’t believe that 10 or 15 years from now the world will stand by and watch Iran acquire nuclear weapons.” That also is why 60 bipartisan U.S. national security experts came out in support of the agreement, recognizing that: “No agreement between multiple parties can be a perfect agreement without risks. We believe without this agreement, the risks to the security of the U.S. and its friends would be far greater. We have also not heard any viable alternatives from those who oppose the implementation of the JCPOA.” Building a bomb requires either uranium or plutonium. This deal not only redesigns Iran’s Arak reactor so it cannot produce weapons-grade plutonium, it also drastically reduces the number of centrifuges and the stockpile of uranium that Iran would need. Here’s a quick look at the difference this deal makes: Equally important is the fact that this deal puts in place extraordinary and robust monitoring, verification, and inspection to ensure that Iran complies with their commitments. From the minute the materials that could be used for a weapon comes out of the ground to the minute it is shipped out of Iran, international inspectors will have eyes on it and anywhere Iran could try and take it. Check back in at WhiteHouse.gov/Iran-Deal to get regular updates and info that outline the key components of the deal, and follow the new White House Twitter handle @TheIranDeal, which will ensure that folks get the facts on the deal. Thanks. More soon — Matt Matt Nosanchuk Associate Director, Office of Public Engagement The White House
Like Painting Your Bald Spot, But Better July 27, 2015July 26, 2015 Well, I suppose it’s actually more like coloring your grey hair. But it’s still way better because it saves so much water. Lawn painting! With 100% organic green paint! (Even longer-term solutions can be found here: 24 Inspiring Lawn-Free Yards.) Seriously: between not wasting 30% of the water-guzzling foods we grow (Friday’s post) . . . and not watering lawns (my neighbor has an astroturf croquet field; buy your astroturf lawn recycled) . . . we could really make a dent in this thing. (And save all that mowing.) Should water consumption — above basic per capita needs — be heavily taxed, with all that tax revenue going to reduce property taxes? So the overall tax burden would be about the same, but shifted especially onto people who waste water, to give everyone an incentive not to?
Food Waste July 24, 2015July 24, 2015 You may recall my recent ingestion of creamed spinach “best bought by” October 27, 2007. When it comes to wasting not in order to want not (and live light on the land) I defer to no one. It makes me crazy when friends use too much coffee (a couple of teaspoonsful per mug, boys!) to make too much coffee that they then eventually pour down the drain. And the cans of beer sipped once and then abandoned? Paper towels aren’t food, but they come from trees. Why use them? I am still using Costco rags I bought 20 years ago. Etc., etc. Aluminum foil? Are you crazy? If you top the bowl of leftovers with aluminum foil, you are destroying the planet — and can’t even see what’s inside the bowl! I use the plastic bags my shirts come in from the cleaner. Also, as I’ve told you repeatedly, I don’t eat a whole lot. Saves time, saves money, makes what you do eat taste better, lengthens your life, and saves the planet. (A lot of water and oil and coal and pesticide and packaging go into getting that slice of pizza into your stomach; more still if it’s pepperoni.) But as brightly as I try to make the case against waste, I am but a candle to John Oliver’s klieg light. Enjoy!
It’s Not Just Sharks We Have To Worry About July 23, 2015July 22, 2015 Kiss many of the world’s most populous cities good-bye. In what may prove to be a turning point for political action on climate change, a breathtaking new study casts extreme doubt about the near-term stability of global sea levels. The study—written by James Hansen, NASA’s former lead climate scientist, and 16 co-authors, many of whom are considered among the top in their fields—concludes that glaciers in Greenland and Antarctica will melt 10 times faster than previous consensus estimates, resulting in sea level rise of at least 10 feet in as little as 50 years. The study, which has not yet been peer-reviewed, brings new importance to a feedback loop in the ocean near Antarctica that results in cooler freshwater from melting glaciers forcing warmer, saltier water underneath the ice sheets, speeding up the melting rate. Hansen, who is known for being alarmist and also right, acknowledges that his study implies change far beyond previous consensus estimates. In a conference call with reporters, he said he hoped the new findings would be “substantially more persuasive than anything previously published.” I certainly find them to be. . . . . . . The implications are mindboggling: In the study’s likely scenario, New York City—and every other coastal city on the planet—may only have a few more decades of habitability left. [Perhaps rendering the world ungovernable.] That dire prediction, in Hansen’s view, requires “emergency cooperation among nations.” Read the rest at Slate.com. Some take comfort in assurances from the Republicans chosen to chair the Senate Committee on the Environment and Public Works and the House Committee On Science, Space, and Technology that this is all a hoax. But NASA actually sent a spaceship to Pluto — with precision equivalent to getting a hole-in-one when the tee is in New York and the hole is in Los Angeles — which is considerably more compelling, I think, than anything James Inhofe and Lamar Smith have ever done — so when NASA’s former lead climate scientist weighs in, perhaps mankind should listen. At least until we hear what Donald Trump and Dick Cheney have to say. Read the rest at Slate.com.