Problems of the Rich and Creative March 15, 1996February 6, 2017 I realize this is not the average guy’s or gal’s problem. But an acquaintance of mine recently regained control of his checkbook, after years of having an accountant pay his bills. Some high-income “creative” people do this — sports figures, actors, writers. (In Hollywood, it’s a status symbol.) It’s also a little crazy, now that a computer can make the whole job so easy. But my friend only recently got into computers, only recently got the software to turn his Citibank account into the kind of account where he can now pay his bills on-line and take control of his life. For years, all his bills would go to his accountant in New Jersey. And his paycheck would be direct-deposited into an account on which she had signing privileges. He never really looked at any of it. This is the joy of having someone else do it for you if you’re creative. And it cost him “only” 5% of his income — the standard fee for this service — which worked out to around $10,000 a year. Not being a deductible expense, that meant he had to earn nearly $20,000, before federal, state and city taxes, to pay for it. After endless prodding, he finally did the uncreative thing. He terminated the accountant and started paying his own bills. Now that he’s set up with the computer, it couldn’t be more than an hour or two a month, tops — 25 hours a year to “earn” the extra $20,000 (pre-tax) she was costing him. Not bad: $800 an hour. But it’s better than that, because in taking control of this himself he noticed some things his accountant hadn’t. For example, he noticed he’d been paying for a health club membership he hadn’t used in years. Oops. There was a couple thousand dollars down the drain. Obviously, this is not a problem most of us have. But it does speak to the value of taking control of your own finances, running your eye down your own credit card bill to see if you’re still being charged for some $9.95-a-month service you long ago stopped using, let alone a $600-a-year health club membership. Hey: it ain’t easy being creative! Tomorrow: Borrowing Tip
Dumpster Divers March 14, 1996February 6, 2017 Yesterday I scared you with a few words about check fraud. I don’t know if I scared you enough to get you actually to reconcile your checkbook promptly each month, but I tried. Today, a story my good friend Sherman Robbins uncovered for South Florida Magazine. “A shivering vagrant who had crawled into an Alamo Rent-A-Car trash container one evening,” writes Sherman, “left his shelter next morning with credit card information on the company’s customers. For $30 he rented a mail drop, and soon he was dialing the toll-free numbers of mail-order computer vendors.” He ordered a ton of stuff, sold it to pawn shops, and made enough money to rent a nice apartment. (That’s one solution to the homeless problem.) Unfortunately (if you’ve chosen to root for the vagrant), he tripped himself up. He tried to use the same card number a second time, and Fort Lauderdale Detective Kevin Allen nabbed him. “Most Dumpster divers are professionals who know what they’re looking for,” Sherm quoted Detective Allen, “but this guy wouldn’t even have known how to turn on a computer.” Moral: “Reconcile” your credit card statements, too — or at least verify each of the charges when the statement arrives. This is especially true if you’re one of those people who has someone else — an accountant or a spouse — pay the bills. They may just assume you really did buy a computer or some new clothes, when you and I know you did nothing of the kind. Tomorrow: Problems of the Rich and Creative
Check Fraud March 13, 1996February 6, 2017 Watch where you keep your blank checks. Hide them! There were more than a million cases of check fraud in the U.S. in 1993. If someone filches a few checks from the middle or the back of your checkbook, it could be months before you noticed, if ever. Then it’s just a matter of getting your signature (how hard is that? They may already have it from a letter or check you paid them with already, or by grabbing a piece of outgoing mail from your mailbox) and forging the check. The best way to catch fraud: Reconcile your checkbook promptly each month. Better still, switch to an on-line checking account of the type now becoming available through Citibank or linked through Quicken or Managing Your Money. You’ll be able to see your transactions promptly — and spot any that seem bogus. What’s more, most of them will be electronic to begin with. No checks, no check fraud. Also, make a note someplace of the checks you’ve got in your wallet, so if it’s stolen you know which are gone and can stop payment without having to close out your whole account. Each time you grab some new blank checks for your wallet, update that note. (A good place for it: right there with your main stash of checks.) Yes, your liability is limited when it comes to forged checks. But that assumes (a) you even notice you’ve been robbed (if you don’t reconcile, you may never know) and (b) that you ignore value your time (straightening out a mess like this can be a nightmare). Tomorrow: Dumpster Divers
Einstein March 12, 1996February 6, 2017 I collect quotes and snippets. “Many [New York City co-operative apartment building managing agents] promote arbitration and mediation. This would prevent cases like the recent one in which $130,000 in legal fees were exhausted to decide who should pay for window bars costing $924.” — The New York Times, October, 1995 I like this one because I’m working this month to help California pass three ballot measures — Props 200, 201, and 202 — that would modestly discourage unnecessary litigation. ”Don’t worry about people stealing your ideas. If your ideas are any good, you’ll have to ram them down people’s throats.” — Howard Aiken Part of the problem we’re having in California. “If you think it’s messy there,” said Albert Einstein of his paper-strewn office, “you should see it up here,” he smiled, pointing to his head. If only we could get him to endorse our three Propositions. We have the chairman of Intel and the co-creator of Quicken and the co-creator of Managing Your Money (well, me) and Peter Norton of Norton Utilities and half the CEOs in Silicon Valley. But Einstein? Can you imagine the weight he would carry in the high tech community? And in the community at large? The lawyers have Ralph Nader on their side, and that sways a lot of people (it used to sway me, too, but on this issue Ralph is wrong). But Einstein? No contest. Einstein would score a first-round knock out. Tomorrow: Check Fraud
We Have a Flat Tax March 11, 1996February 6, 2017 The thing is: We already have a flat tax. It’s called the Social Security tax. For more than half of us, it’s actually a bigger bite than the income tax. And, amazingly, it’s not just flat. As Michael Dukakis and others have pointed out, it’s downward sloped. Above a certain level, you don’t have to pay it. For someone who earns $20,000 a year, it’s a flat 7.65%. For someone who earns $1 million a year, it works out to just one half of one percent. (Double both those percentages if you’re self-employed.) The tax is 7.65% on the first $62,700, or about $5,000. Then it stops. On $1 million income, it’s still about $5,000 — one half of one percent. Actually, it’s no longer quite so stark. A few years ago the ceiling was removed on the taxable Medicare portion of the Social Security tax. That portion (1.45%, or 2.9% if self-employed) now applies to every dollar we earn. But the bulk of the tax cuts out at $62,700. And we don’t pay any Social Security tax on investment income. So here is a tax that a family of four scraping to get by on a $20,000 income pays, but that a nonworking millionaire earning $185,000 a year on his investments does not. Now, I know the reasons for this. I know the historical background. I know that Social Security benefits top out at a certain level, so it’s not fair to have a high-income person pay more for his or her benefits than a lower income person. But I also know that America is not guaranteed a bright future; we have to make it happen. We have to find the resources to balance the budget (or come fairly close), yet build a nation of well educated, skilled, reasonably harmonious, happy healthy citizens — or else slide gradually into the sort of economy with some superrich at the top, a small merchant class in the middle, machine-gun toting guards at the edges of our gated communities, and everyone else outside, scampering out of the way as our limos drive through the crowded streets. To find the resources we need, we may have to look to those who have the resources, whether it’s done through charities and orphanages or through a graduated income tax. And now that Social Security is such a huge part of the national tax structure, attention might rightly be paid to the notion that it’s not only not graduated, it slopes downward. The more you make, beyond $62,700, the lower the percentage you pay. I know I’m swimming against the tide here. But there are an awful lot of people working very hard to make ends meet, unable to save anything, who in an earlier era, working this hard, would have been more comfortably middle class. If we drive the great middle-middle class into the great lower-middle class and the great lower-middle class down to the poverty level, at some point the votes might be there to raise tax brackets on the rich back up to counterproductive, vengeful levels — like the 70% rate that prevailed until 1980. If we think it’s OK for a family earning $35,000 a year to pay a flat 7.65% in Social Security tax — tough, but necessary — then perhaps a family earning $400,000 would be able to afford it, too. Tomorrow: Einstein
When to Shun Mutual Funds March 8, 1996February 6, 2017 A reader writes: “In your disclaimer, you make a point of saying that most people should be in no-load mutual funds, not individual stocks. I would be quite interested in hearing your criteria for when individual is better. The big advantages I see for individual stocks are better control of taxes and better capability to allocate assets into various classes.” Good question. It’s true that “tax-control” has its advantages. For example, if I have a stock that goes up five-fold (I don’t have many) and another that goes to zero (I have quite few), I can give the big winner to charity — which is a cheaper way to give than giving actual cash — and sell the other for a tax loss, deductible up to $3,000 a year against my ordinary income. In a mutual fund, the gains and losses might have largely cancelled each other out, giving me little tax advantage in giving shares of the mutual fund to charity (since I might have only a modest capital gain in those shares overall), and no tax advantage from the loss within the fund (unless I sold my fund shares at a loss). I’m not sure I buy your other “big advantage” — “better capability to allocate assets into various classes.” I think you can do most of the asset allocating you want by choosing the right funds. Other advantages to going it alone choosing individual stocks: it’s more fun and interesting, and that may be worth something to you (although it’s not so much fun if you do really badly at it, as more than a few bright people do) . . . you can sometimes take advantage of your expertise in a particular niche (but do be careful of abusing inside information) . . . you can sometimes beat the pros, either because you’re just really good at investing (but few can, including few pros) . . . you can tread where most mutual funds dare not — namely, the stocks of companies too small for most funds to invest in (but these can languish for years and are often the riskiest stocks with the highest “transaction costs” for getting in and out — the widest spreads between the bid and the asked). If parts of this comment are hard to follow, please feel free to ask more questions! On this, or any other topic. My answers will normally worth about what you pay for them. Tomorrow: We Have a Flat Tax
Wine by the Case – Amazing Math March 7, 1996February 6, 2017 Welcome to my “daily comment.” The ground rules Ceres and I have agreed to are simple. I can write whatever I want, ranging from a sentence to an epic, and nothing is off limits. I can even say things like, “Don’t trade stocks yourself — for most people, it’s smarter to invest through no-load mutual funds.” Which it is. This example has sort of evolved. The first time I used it was in 1978, on The Tonight Show. Say you bought a $10 bottle of wine for dinner every Saturday night, but could instead get a 10% discount buying by the case. You’d “make” 10% on the extra money you tied up. And you’d “make” it in just 12 weeks — a bottle a week for 12 weeks equals one case of wine — which works out, I explained, to “better than a 40% annual return.” I didn’t explain how much better. I figured 40% was dramatic enough. Where else can you earn 40% tax-free? (Uncle Sam doesn’t tax you for smart shopping.) As the years passed, I found people were having trouble understanding this little shtick of mine. Why is it 40% if I just got a 10% discount? So I tried explaining it in a little more detail. What actually happens, I explained, is that instead of going to the store and laying out $10 for one bottle, you are laying out $108 for 12 bottles — $120 less the 10% discount. Which means you are laying out $98 more than you otherwise would have. That extra $98 is your “investment.” By keeping at most that much extra tied up all year, you save $1 a week on wine — $52 a year. And “earning” $52 a year by tying up $98 is earning 53%. So now I was up to 53%, an even better tax-free return. This confused people even more. That first $98 is gone, they would tell me, and now you have to come up with a new $98 to buy your next case of wine. But think about it. If you were someone who planned to spend $10 every week on wine — $520 a year — and who would have LOVED to save 10% buying by the case but just couldn’t scrape up enough money all at once to do it, how much financing would you need? Would you have to go to a bank and ask for a $400 line of credit in order to be able to change your buying habits? No, you would need only a $98 credit line — and you would only fully draw it down that very first week. After that, you would replenish it by $10 a week (the $10 you used to spend on wine by the bottle), which means that after 12 weeks, when you needed to buy the next case, you would not only have replenished the full $98, you’d actually have an extra $12 to work with (the money you saved buying by the case). So now you’d have to draw down only $86 of your $98 credit line. In other words, to finance this change in habits you’d need a maximum credit line of $98. But you’d only actually draw down that much the very first week. Within 10 weeks you’d have paid the balance down to zero; then run it back up to $86 in the 13th week to buy your next case of wine; then paid that off in 9 weeks; then run it back up to $74 to buy your next case — and so on. On average, over the course of the year, you’re using far less than the full $98 to finance this change in buying habits. So the return on your decision to tie up that $98 at first, and then gradually less, is actually much greater than 40% or 53%. If my friend Less Antman has keyed all this into his Hewlett Packard financial calculator right — and I’ve never known him to err — it works out to an annualized 177% rate of return (though try explaining THAT in 40 seconds on The Tonight Show). It’s still only $52 you’re earning — $1 a week by getting the 10% discount. But you’re earning it NOT on that first $98, which is the MOST you ever have to set aside to change your buying habits, but on an average “investment” throughout the year that’s much lower. Next step: find a vintage you like equally well that’s $8 a bottle. Tomorrow: Potpourri
Everything BUT Tuna March 6, 1996February 6, 2017 Welcome to my “daily comment.” The ground rules Ceres and I have agreed to are simple. I can write whatever I want, ranging from a sentence to an epic, and nothing is off limits. I can even say things like, “Don’t trade stocks yourself — for most people, it’s smarter to invest through no-load mutual funds.” Which it is. Yesterday, I recounted what Kramer and I know about saving money at warehouse stores. The land-of-the-giants tuna fish episode of Seinfeld. Today, I take you comparison shopping, just to give you a sense of what’s out there. The idea is to shop smart and save money, because the IRS doesn’t tax you for that. A penny saved at the supermarket is a penny that falls straight to your bottom line. My motto: NOTHING IS EVER ON SALE AT THE 7-ELEVEN. The following shows prices for January 24, 1996 in the Miami/Ft. Lauderdale area. The comparison is in no way meant to be scientific, just to give you a sense of how prices — especially prices per unit — can vary. If you always tend to get the best price, or nearly the best price, you will save a lot of money compared with those who get the normal mix of good and bad prices. Not shown here are the really bad prices — the travel size toothpaste you can buy in the hotel shop for $2.39. Instead, I just compared a Sam’s Club warehouse store with two large Southeast supermarket chains, Publix and Winn-Dixie. Not shown either are the “store brands” that are often another excellent way to save money. Not on ketchup, of course — there is only one Heinz ketchup. But on garbage bags? Paper towels? In many cases, these come off the same production line as the “brand name” products. And a final disclaimer: I’m not saying you should actually eat stuff like this. Fresh vegetables, baked potatoes, lots of fruit — that’s what you should eat. (Costco sells a mean jumbo frozen fruit salad, incidentally.) The point of this is just to show how prices can vary. Item Sam’s Publix Winn-Dixie Kraft Velveeta Price per lb. 1.798 1.995 3.28 Kraft Parmesan Cheese Price per oz. .31 .37 .41 Stouffer Frozen Lasagna Price per oz. .09 .125 .125 Tostitos Tortilla Chips Price per oz. .125 .206 .186 Pepperidge Farm Goldfish Crackers Price per oz. .128 .215 .193 Nabisco Wheat Thins Price per oz. .125 .179 .179 Hunt’s Catsup Price per oz. .037 .052 .047 Hellman’s Mayo Price per oz. .074 .112 .105 French’s Mustard Price per oz. .057 .050 .061 Campbell’s Tomato Soup Price per can .49 .40 .445 Chef Boy-ar-dee Ravioli Price per oz. .055 .066 .67 Mott’s Apple Sauce Price per oz. .033 .039 .041 Juicy Juice Boxes Price per oz. .038 .043 .058 Minute Maid Juice Boxes Price per oz. .038 .035 .039 Ocean Spray Cranberry Gallon 5.22 5.99 5.98 Milk (gallon) 2% 2.05 2.87 2.87 Skim 2.05 2.77 2.77 Whole 2.15 2.87 2.87 Kraft American Singles Price/slice .083 .112 .115 Eggs 18 carton (large) 1.48 n/a 1.85 Pop Tarts Price per tart .215 .249 .248 Post GrapeNuts Cereal Price per oz. .125 .162 .103 Wheaties Price per oz. .158 .166 .165 Kellogg’s Corn Flakes Price per oz. .117 .137 .137 Maxwell House Price per oz. .174 .177 .174 Peter Pan Peanut Butter Price per oz. .081 .107 .106 Bumble Bee Chunk Light Tuna Price per oz. .103 .095 .095 Del Monte Peas Price per oz. .027 .036 .032 Del Monte Green Beans Price per oz. .025 .033 .034 Del Monte Corn Price per oz. .025 .036 .032 Del Monte Peaches Price per oz. .038 .051 .051 My other motto: SHOP AROUND. Tomorrow: Wine by the Case: Amazing Math
Tuna Prices March 5, 1996February 6, 2017 Welcome to my “daily comment.” The ground rules Ceres and I have agreed to are simple. I can write whatever I want, ranging from a sentence to an epic, and nothing is off limits. I can even say things like, “Don’t trade stocks yourself — for most people, it’s smarter to invest through no-load mutual funds.” Which it is. Today: tuna fish. Did you see the Seinfeld where Kramer shows up holding a giant can of Starkist solid white albacore he had bought at a warehouse store? My jaw dropped, because I had, a week or two before, been photographed with the exact same 4-pound 2.5-ounce can (well, not literally the same can, but you know what I mean) at a warehouse store for PARADE. It was to illustrate the idea of buying in bulk to save money. And here was Kramer — Kramer! — making exactly the same point, with exactly the same prop. (He would then move on to Beefaroni as the plot thickened, but I won’t even begin to try to clip-clop through the whole thing.) Now, what’s interesting about tuna is that it’s something of a special case. It’s such a staple, supermarkets sometimes use it as a loss leader. The six-ounce can at the supermarket, on sale occasionally at 98 cents a can — 16.33 cents an ounce — can actually be cheaper than the large size at that same supermarket, or perhaps even beat the warehouse store. Kramer’s tuna cost him $10.79 (if he got the same deal I did), which comes out to 16.23 cents an ounce. Then again, at a non-sale price of $1.29, let alone the $1.44 I saw recently, buying the six-ounce size costs 31%, or even 47%, more per ounce. Boy. If you spend $2,000 a year on the kinds of things you could buy in bulk when they’re on sale (or at warehouse stores, where items are more or less always on sale) . . . and if you could save 31% by shopping smarter . . . that’s $620 a year, tax-free, risk-free. And of course it’s more convenient, not less, because you rarely run out of anything, and you need take fewer trips to the store. That saves time and gasoline. Environmentally speaking, it probably uses less energy and resources to make one big tuna can than 11 little ones. Certainly it’s more convenient not to have to open 11 little cans, if you’re making tuna salad for an army. Then again, if you’re just making yourself a sandwich, the land-of-the-giants size may use up half your Tupperware. But isn’t that what’s great about America? Choices. Under communism, tuna all came in one size, and they were out of it. Tomorrow: Everything BUT Tuna
Publishers Clearinghouse March 4, 1996February 6, 2017 Welcome to my “daily comment.” The ground rules Ceres and I have agreed to are simple. I can write whatever I want, ranging from a sentence to an epic, and nothing is off limits. I can even say things like, “Don’t trade stocks yourself — for most people, it’s smarter to invest through no-load mutual funds.” Which it is. By the time you read this the excitement will be over, and the helicopters will be back in their hangars, but picture the scene: My mother — the kind of energetic optimist who can get cars with frozen batteries to start when no one else can (“the triumph of black magic over science,” said my father once, years ago, after he had given it up as impossible and called Triple-A), and who sees almost any glass as more than half full — is leaving for a long cruise. Where you or I would be worried about passports and visa requirements (the cruise stops in Vietnam; do you need a visa?) and how much to bring and a million other things, she is worried that she will be gone the day they pick the Publishers Clearinghouse Sweepstakes winner. Because you know, she tells me, you have to be home to win. I don’t know if this is true, but she believes that if you’re not there to jump up and down for the camera, they’ll pass you by. She is kidding, I assume, and even she must realize on some level she is kidding. But after the third or fourth time she mentions this, I suggest she simply end her phone machine message with, “. . . and if this is the Publisher’s Clearinghouse Sweepstakes, call 011-873-110-4507 and we will return immediately.” And so she does exactly that. It’s very expensive calling “ship to shore” (or, in this case, shore to ship). But the assumption is that with $10 million at stake — or $11 million, which was the other prize she had signed up for — someone can spring for the $10-a-minute call. At which point Mom would say, “Stop the ship! Get me a helicopter! I’ve got to get home for Ed McMahon!” Just what they will make of this in Ho Chi Minh City I have no idea. For three weeks, anyone who called got that message, even after the Super Bowl (and the prize winner announcement) were long over. And no, she didn’t win. This year. But she came awfully close. (Like everyone else, she made “the final round.”) And she was ready. I don’t participate in the Sweepstakes myself because the cost — a 32-cent stamp — exceeds the expected return. (Ten million dollars spread out over 20 years is worth about $5 million today before taxes, maybe $3 million after. If 20 million people send in the sweepstakes form, then the chance of winning is worth one twenty-millionth of $3 million, or 15 cents — a net loss of 17 cents. I don’t actually know that 20 million people DO send in the form, but in the interests of time, I have decided not to research this more thoroughly.) I also suspect that the computer that chooses the winner is programmed to nix certain zip codes, like 90210 (Beverly Hills) and 10021 (Manhattan’s Upper East Side), because the image of Leona Helmsley or Zsa Zsa Gabor jumping up and down when the cameras arrive to inform her she’s won may not be the sort of shot they’re after. I don’t happen to live in one of those zip codes, but I still don’t picture them coming to my door. Tomorrow: Tuna Prices