Climbing Out of Debt November 2, 1998February 10, 2017 If you saw yesterday’s PARADE or read Friday’s comment, you know I’ve been thinking about credit cards … much of it with help from you. The U.S. is lousy with credit cards. As of 1996, 119 million of us had nearly 1.4 billion of them. They broke down approximately as follows: Bank-issued cards (Visa, MasterCard) 383 million Oil-company-issued cards 111 million Phone-company-issued cards 171 million Retail store cards 622 million Travel & Entertainment cards (Amex, etc.) 31 million Other 64 million Total Cards 1.382 billion Herewith, some more real life credit card snapshots: PAID OFF EVERY CENT Diane Miller Tampa, FL Age: 43 Occupation: Small business owner Credit Cards: 3 Diane Miller began as a receptionist for a local fencing company in 1977 and soon became indispensable. Increasingly, the owner was absent. When creditors started calling, Diane began using her MasterCard to pay them, figuring she’d be reimbursed. Oops. Before long, she had maxed out her card and exhausted her savings. It might have been a decent reason to declare bankruptcy, but in 1992, with the help of some understanding suppliers, she bought Master Fence instead, quadrupled its sales, and paid off every cent. Today, she uses three cards and enjoys the rewards they offer – she already got a free rowing machine and is working on a TV – but pays them off each month in full. REFUSED TO GO BANKRUPT Louis and Andrea Cantu Colorado Springs Ages: 28 and 25 Occupations: Works for a check printer; Mother of two Credit Cards: 0 You may have seen these folks on MTV’s outstanding special, “No Money, Mo’ Problems,” a documentary produced by Linda Ellerbee. I’ve pulled out some of their dialog: Andrea: “We never planned for the unexpected. There was never a reserve anywhere. And that’s where we went wrong financially. If I had $50 in my pocket, I would never say, ‘OK, let me cover everyone’s dinner.’ But if I had the credit card, I just smacked it down.” Louis: “You get that first credit card at 18 and it’s almost like Christmas when it comes in the mail and you open it up and the first thing you want to do is go use it.” The Cantus got so deep in debt – $16,000 – that they had to move in with Andrea’s parents. A credit counselor told them it would take them about four years to pay off the debt. He made them bring in all their credit cards, says Andrea – “Physically bring them in, and cut them up. That was so hard for me!” Louis: “A lot of couples our age, instead of going to a credit service, just file for bankruptcy. That was never an option.” Andrea: “Louis said, ‘We borrowed that money; we’re paying it back.'” Today, they are paying it back. Andrea drives Louis to work at five every morning (they can’t afford a second car). “I have nothing to show in my home for my credit card,” says Andrea. “It was just wasted. What we get now, we really appreciate. If you can get through the financial fight, it really builds you up. Because then you start enjoying what you have instead of worrying about what you don’t have. Spending money is an addiction. You don’t need to keep up with the Joneses, you need to keep up with yourself.” Tomorrow: More
They Were Living Large October 30, 1998February 10, 2017 Way back in June, I asked whether any of you would be willing to have your photos on the cover of PARADE. I needed “credit card stories” — real life thumbnails that would help me make vivid for PARADE’s 41 million households the pitfalls and possibilities of credit card use. You were terrific, time has marched on, and Sunday, if your local paper carries PARADE, several of you will see your beautiful selves on its cover or in its pages. But as generous as PARADE’s editors were in allotting space to this story, many of your stories didn’t make the cut. Which pained me, because many of them were so interesting or instructive — or just compellingly “real.” (How often do we get to look into a stranger’s wallet?) For example: In 1985 Paul and Cher Jakubowski had about 20 credit cards. They were living large but didn’t think they had a problem. Indeed, they were paying more than the required monthly minimums on all the cards — and feeling “smugly responsible” about that. They both had good jobs (he’s a tech support manager, she’s a pre-school teacher), and one of the last things these Texans worried about was money. “Whenever we needed something,” says Paul, “we called for a credit increase. And since the bank(s) always gave it to us, we figured we could afford whatever they’d ‘give’ us.” One month, though, one of the bills looked awfully high. Paul asked Cher how much she had “spent on the credit cards.” (That’s how they thought of it at the time — they “spent on the cards” rather than on the goods and services the cards bought.) “About $350,” guessed Cher. But Paul got out his calculator and found that her spending had totaled over $800 that month. His own had topped $600. “Now, I’m not a stupid person,” says Paul (whose Mensa Membership number is 1134149), “but some things come slowly to me. Even though no one had ever taken the time to teach me about money, I could tell that spending $1,400 when we would have estimated $750 was out of line.” He bought one of those early computer software money-management programs (using a credit card!) and was amazed. “Once I got done setting it up and looked at our ‘Net Worth’ for the first time,” he says, “I lost my breath. We had a NEGATIVE Net Worth! I couldn’t believe it.” But there was no arguing with the dismal picture it painted. They went on a budget. “It felt awful not to be able to buy whatever we wanted whenever we wanted and just sign our names. It was excruciating to cut up all but two credit cards. That was almost like putting a beloved pet to sleep — our self image was so tied up in the ‘status’ they conveyed.” Fortunately, both their careers continued to progress, and after three or four years, the cards were paid off. Today, they keep just two credit cards, a Discover Private Issue that they use for everything they can, and a Visa for the rest. They charge everything possible — from groceries and gas to college tuition. Discover’s 2% cash rebate comes in March of each year. “The financial freedom we now enjoy is in stark contrast to where we were, and where we would be today if we had not come to our senses and put our affairs in order. Today, a budget is about possibilities, not constraints, and credit cards are mere tools to achieve those possibilities rather than status symbols of an irresponsible way of life.” # If you can, check out this Sunday’s (November 1) PARADE. Next week: some more of these stories.
Next Tuesday October 29, 1998February 10, 2017 Not to say politicians aren’t entitled to their opinions, but should they state them so forcefully? Who can forget Ross Perot’s flat-out assertion that NAFTA, if passed, would lead to a “giant sucking sound” as our jobless rate soared? Over and over again he said this. And with such disdain for anyone not bright enough to see it! The thing about Ross: It’s just all so obvious to him. A giant sucking sound. Of course, NAFTA and GATT have been in place for some time now and the jobless rate, at 4.6%, is near its lowest rate in decades. And still Perot calls everyone who disagrees with him (on any issue) a moron. And here’s another, even more important example: As Newsweek‘s Jonathan Alter pointed out a couple of weeks ago, there was not a single Republican vote for the Clinton economic plan in 1993. Not one. (It was a plan that, among other things, raised taxes on the highest-income Americans to help balance the budget and get interest rates down.) The Republican chorus: It would wreck the economy. “It will kill jobs and lead to a recession,” Alter quotes Newt Gingrich as having said. Phil Gramm said there was “no possibility” we would see any economic growth if taxes on the best-off were raised. “This plan will not work,” said Republican budget-expert John Kasich. Every single Republican voted no … and five years later we’ve added 16 million jobs, balanced the budget, seen interest rates fall, and watched the stock market double. There are millions of good Republicans … even including some in Congress. But I’m scared when the leadership has gotten so polarized, when the battle has taken on such … fervor. Religion is, of course, a wonderful thing. But, especially when it gets mixed up in governance, it can go too far. Queen Isabella boasted, 500 years ago, “I have caused great calamities. I have depopulated provinces and kingdoms. But I did it for the love of Christ and his Holy Mother.” Ouch. Not for a moment to suggest that any Republican leaders actually approve of snipers murdering doctors or bombing clinics, or thugs beating, burning and crucifying homosexuals. But the influence of the Christian right on the Republican party has, in my view, become disproportional. If only every moderate Republican would run to the polls November 3 and vote overwhelmingly Democratic, this one time, to send the Republican leadership an unmistakable message: America must not become a theocracy controlled by wealthy televangelists. (They should have their say, of course, but not control of the party unless their views are shared by a majority of the party – which polls suggest they are not.) Then we could go back to electing good Republicans, of whom there are many, right along with good Democrats.
Green Gummi Bears October 28, 1998February 10, 2017 Let’s be honest. Does anyone like the green Gummi Bears? Or, for that matter, the green jelly beans or Lifesaver-brand lifesavers? OK, I know my audience well enough to know that a few of you probably do like them – a little. Or will say you do because you’re … well, you don’t want me to get away with anything. But even among those folks, truly: Have they ever in their lives said, “Oh! Save me a green one!” … or, “Why don’t they put more GREEN ones in here?” … or, “You bum! You took the last green one!” I have lived a long time. I have never heard any of these statements. (And if you were being honest with me, you would admit it: You never have, either.) Even the yellow and orange ones win no popularity contests – it is the red ones people go for most enthusiastically, and the white vanilla ones (which it turns out are actually pineapple) – which leads one to wonder: What’s the deal? Surely the Gummi Bear people know this. Why don’t they nix the greenies? Or, at least, radically alter the mix? (Or reformulate the green ones as kiwi, which would actually taste quite good?) Could it be a nutrition thing? Balanced diets and all that? I doubt it. Lime-juice-dyed corn syrup can’t be all that different nutritionally from cherry-juice-dyed corn syrup. Could it be cost? Could red Gummi Bears possibly be more expensive to breed than green and yellow ones? Get real. I called the Gummi Bear people. Or tried to. It seems there are no Gummi Bear people, as such. As the woman I reached at Promotion in Motion, Inc. explained, “Anyone can make Gummi Bears.” Just not the Care Bear brand Gummi Bears that Promotion in Motion makes under license to the Care Bear people. So different Gummi Bear makers may have different philosophies. Is there an association of Gummi Bear manufacturers? No, says Mike Rosenberg, the affable president of Promotion in Motion. In Mike I had a man who makes literally billions of gummis each year – perhaps 15% to 20% of the U.S. gummi market – and who claims that his own children, aged 6 and 7, love the green ones. (The nearly-two-year-old doesn’t eat them yet.) I am skeptical of this. Perhaps they are merely pretending to win his approval. Gummi, Mike explains, is German for rubber. Gummi Bears seem to have originated in Germany. But not, he believes, with the German outfit that claims to have invented them. Carbon-dating (well, or something) shows the existence of gummis predating the existence of that boastful company. I researched a couple of seemingly identical Promotion in Motion, Inc. 3.5-ounce boxes of Care Bear brand Gummi Bears and discovered the distribution to be as follows: Color Box 1 Box 2 Red 5 7 Yellow 8 10 White 10 8 Pink 11 6 Green 4 10 Orange 8 7 Note that Box 2 appeared to have two more bears than Box 1 – 48 versus 46 – and that it was really the luck of the draw. Wherein may lie much of the plan for and success of the Gummi Bear. It’s a gummi gamble. You don’t know just what you’ll get. You could get lucky! No gain without pain, so they stick the green ones in there to make the red ones seem all the more desirable. As crestfallen as you are to grab a green one, well, that’s how much your heart warms with the special friendship of good fortune when … it’s red! (Pink was not something I expected. Upon experimentation, pink appears to be strawberry, while red is cherry. Why not black licorice? It must be that black is not a pretty, kid-friendly color.) Mike Rosenberg disclaims any such plan. Six flavors, six nozzles filling molds, some blending, heating, cooling, a shiny non-stick agent like beeswax, mixed in a drum … on average, each flavor gets equal weight. Which is why there are so many leftover green Gummi Bears in the world. And here’s another thing. What about those salt shaker/pepper shaker twin paks? What kind of ratio is that? Is there a family in America that has ever run out of the salt at more or less the same time as the pepper? Quite clearly not: We are all left with nearly full peppers, vainly searching the supermarket shelves for a salt-salt twin pak to even the score. (Not to say, of course, that I approve of this very non-bulk form of purchasing to begin with. But we all slip occasionally.) Ratios are wrong, supplies are out of kilter. But this is America, and sooner or later someone will come up with a way to profit from these inefficiencies. I sense a new kind of green-gummi-bear-pepper composite paving our roads one day or caulking our seams. In every crisis lies opportunity.
Its a Small World After All October 27, 1998February 10, 2017 Yesterday I know I promised you The Cheese of the Month Club. Well, I had scanner problems, and the cheese is just going to have to wait awhile. Stick with me a week or two, and we will get it all resolved. In the meantime, this quote from a September Worldwatch paper by Lester R. Brown, Gary Gardner and Brian Halweil. In reporting that the world population has grown from 2.5 billion in 1950 to nearly 6 billion today, they note the mathematically obvious yet startling: “… there has been more growth in population since 1950 than during the 4 million years since our early ancestors first stood upright.” The first 2.5 billion people took 4 million years; the next 3.5 billion took 49 years. The report talks of “Water tables falling on every continent … collapsing fisheries …. We are triggering the greatest extinction of plant and animal species since the dinosaurs disappeared.” There are slow-motion problems that are tough to get excited about. And the growth is not happening in the rich industrialized countries, for the most part. (Indeed, Italy and Russia are examples of countries on a path, at least for now, to sharply shrinking populations.) It is the other four-fifths of the world’s population that continues to grow at a rapid rate. But in the long run, since the oceans and the atmosphere don’t respect political boundaries, it’s everybody’s problem. Something to think about next time we’re pondering whether to increase or cut back on funding for international family planning, or programs to help avoid unwanted pregnancies or children having children. It is an interesting irony that many health insurers will cover Viagra but not birth control pills.
Stemming the Junk Mail and Calls October 26, 1998March 25, 2012 I know many of you know this or have done it, but in case you want the flood of unsolicited mail and/or dinnertime phone calls to slacken, just send notes to the following. In a few months, it should taper off somewhat. Just make a note to renew your request in October 2003 – it sticks for 5 years. Mail Preference Service DMA Box 9008 Farmingdale, NY 11735-9008 Phone Preference Service DMA Box 9014 Farmingdale, NY 11735-9014 Of course, do this and you may very well miss your chance to join the Cheese of the Month Club. Tomorrow: Well, sure! The Cheese of the Month Club
My Dell Scale October 23, 1998February 10, 2017 There are those who think Dell Computer — an outstanding company by any measure, some of whose outstanding products I have been pleased to own — is an overvalued stock. I’m not saying either way. (OK, I’m saying. I think it probably is. I think somehow, someday, little outfits like Compaq, IBM, Toshiba, NEC, SONY, Gateway and maybe even Intel or who knows who else may find a way to compete and, at the least, narrow Dell’s profit margins and slow its growth. I have, however, been wrong before.) What I know for sure is that it’s fun — pointless, perhaps, but fun — to play with DELL’s market cap … to marvel at it … to find new ways of expressing the giant value Wall Street puts on it. All the more so when you consider that Michael Dell is (a) reputedly a very nice guy and (b) one of those astonishing modern-day American success stories who started the company in his dorm room. It is for this reason that I have summoned all the subjects of my kingdom to construct on my own nascent Web site a giant “scale.” Its sole purpose (at least for now): to weigh the market cap of DELL, based on today’s prices, against a handful of not-entirely-unknown stocks you may have heard of as well. Click here to see it, and to see what it takes to tip the balance.
Mars, Manhattan, 3Com Puts October 22, 1998February 10, 2017 LET’S BUY MARS From Duncan Smith: “With regard to your ‘Let’s Buy Mars’ article today, I think some guy named Dennis Hope already owns all the land in the solar system (other than the Earth), and is selling it off bit by bit. Check out www.lunarembassy.com. They are selling property on the Moon, Mars, and Venus, at bargain prices. Who knows how this will stand up in court once people actually start settling on the Moon and Mars, but it’s a brilliant business scheme nonetheless.” CORRECTION: IT WAS $24 From Brian Annis: “You write [with respect to the Louisiana Purchase and the purchase of Alaska, so why not Mars?], ‘Only the $23 purchase of Manhattan Island has not been ridiculed among early North American land acquisitions.’ Actually, it wasn’t just $23. The Dutch paid TWICE for Manhattan Island, and HAVE been ridiculed for doing so. They originally ‘bought’ the property from the Canarsee tribe, then had to pay for it again to buy it from the real owners, the Manhattan tribe.” And — what was I thinking? — it was not $23, according to popular lore and the value of beads and trinkets; it was $24. 3Com Puts From Jeffrey Schwarz: “Well, I guess it’s a good thing I didn’t buy those puts. Since I asked you that question [should he buy puts on 3Com, hoping the stock would fall?], 3Com continued to go up due to more silly rumours and improved earnings. (Whew!) Improved earnings should keep it higher, or it might make a good put-buying opportunity now. Either way, options seem to present an unfavorable risk/reward ratio for me. Sure, you have a chance to make a bunch of money — but from what I gather, you lose most of the time and money.” Yep.
Slow but Steady – Part III October 21, 1998February 10, 2017 Not long ago I told the heart-warming story of an ordinary couple who never earned more than $70,000 between them (before tax) yet who, by living beneath their means and investing the difference, had managed to retire, aged 62 and 60, with $3 million in savings. “OK, they are retiring with $3 million,” writes Kathi Derevan, “NOW will they give themselves permission to ENJOY some of the fruits of their labor??? Is there such a thing as saving TOO MUCH money for the future?” To be honest, I’ve never met anyone who rued having saved too much, though such people must exist. But sure: memories are as important as dreams. The more money you spend today, I suppose the more you’re building memories (“Remember that fantastic new BMW we had, back when we could afford one?”) at the expense of dreams (“Someday, we’ll just kick back, financially secure, and really enjoy the last 30 years of our lives.”). Ah, the memories. “Wasn’t it wonderful never weatherstripping or insulating to lower the electric bill? Those were truly blissful days.” OK, maybe I’ve stacked the deck with those examples. I’m sure Kathi is not suggesting people waste money by failing to weatherstrip. But how about this one, as a compromise example. Does it strike a good balance? “Remember that trek through France? We only really splurged on hotels two nights, but the best night of all was actually the one camping out along the river and killing a couple of bottles of wine under the full moon with that big loaf of bread.” OK, I’m not sure you can still do that. I was 16 at the time. There may be “no camping signs” throughout Europe now, and it may actually have been a river in Poland, not France. I don’t remember. My point is: It’s a balance. And if you do it with a sense of humor and a sense of gamesmanship, you can live beneath your means, saving for the future, and still enjoy it. Indeed, one thing savers enjoy most — without being miserly — is their sense of security and control. Driving a car you own outright may be more enjoyable than driving a fancier one on which you have to struggle to make the payments. (Every time my car is stolen — four times now — Charles, who has a different philosophy about money, cheers. Yes!, he thinks. Andy will finally get a new one! But then the police find it, I stitch up the top, and thank my stars it wasn’t an expensive new car they had stolen.) This is not the first time I’ve proposed a bumper sticker that would read: “Sure. But it’s PAID FOR.” Easier to joke about this, I know, when you’re lucky enough to be considered not poor for driving a wreck, merely eccentric. If I couldn’t afford a BMW, I might not be so comfortable in my Frankenstein convertible. My father said something wise that Kathi reminds me of: Life is not a business. So, sure, people should enjoy the fruits of their labor. But the sense I had — just an intuition, really, from the tone of the message that gave rise to this exchange — was that Mr. & Mrs. Retiree, aged 62 and 60, had enjoyed their pre-retirement lives. But frugally.
Gen-u-ine Non-GM Parts October 20, 1998February 10, 2017 From Elliott: “I noticed that State Farm is being sued for forcing their customers to use generic parts when they bring their car in to be serviced. Do you have any thoughts on this matter? I noticed that Nader, et al., are backing the Insurance Companies on this one.” And rightly so. Ralph may be a Big Fat Idiot when it comes to personal-injury auto insurance, as I’ve argued at length elsewhere, but he’s very much on target if this is indeed his position on replacement parts. Generics are usually a better buy when it comes to many consumer items — it’s just wiser shopping. So if State Farm — a mutual company with no rich shareholders who profit from screwing consumers — thinks it’s in the interest of its customer/owners to hold down costs by specifying generics, it probably is. (All the parts, as I understand it, have to meet quality tests.) Otherwise, you give GM, etc., a monopoly — only GM can sell genuine GM parts — and monopolies are not consumer friendly. If there’s a demand for a policy that would cover “only parts from the original manufacturer,” insurers should offer it (some already may), and consumers who want to pay the extra cost should be free to choose it. Ah, the rush. I get so excited writing about auto insurance. Tomorrow, back to less exciting topics.