I’m taking a day off, but wanted to note that TXCO jumped to $6.56 yesterday, from $4.50 when suggested here February 16, 2004.
I sold half mine.
Back tomorrow . . .
11am EST: Well, or back now with second thoughts. I think I was dumb to sell half yesterday. The guy who brought this one to my attention in the first place told me he was selling a lot of his — and I think he may have been dumb also. My thinking had been simply that a 45% gain in a year and a half isn’t terrible, and this stock had been such a laggard in its group . . . well, “sell on the news,” and all that.
But look at the news: “NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Exploration Co. of Delaware Inc. ran to a fresh 52-week high Wednesday on news that the company sold off about 20 percent of its production assets in the Maverick Basin for $80 million.”
This tells me that someone who actually knows something about oil thought 20% of TXCO’s assets were worth more than $80 million (if not, why pay $80 million?) — so the 80% TXCO has left may be worth more than $320 million. Yet at the current $7.50+ share price (up a buck dollar from where I sold half yesterday), the company is valued at less than $250 million (including its long-term debt).
Point being, I hope you didn’t sell half first thing this morning — because if you waited even an hour or so you would have made more like 65% than 45%. And I am not rushing to sell the rest.
Back to my day off.
Quote of the Day
Men never do evil so completely and cheerfully as when they do it from religious conviction.~mathematician Blaise Pascal, 1670
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