Skip to content
Andrew Tobias
Andrew Tobias

Money and Other Subjects

  • Home
  • Books
  • Videos
  • Bio
  • Archives
  • Links
  • Me-Mail
Andrew Tobias
Andrew Tobias

Money and Other Subjects

One Stock; Four Funds; Everything

April 28, 2011March 24, 2017

AMRN

So it was reported that the company has retained Lazard to pursue a sale for $2 billion or more – which would be about $16 a share or more. With the stock more than doubling in a month, and up from its 52-week low of $1.63, Guru understands why there would be lots of profit-taking here but holds out hope for the “or more” part of that report. Based on his comments, I’d assign a 10% chance to some unpleasant surprise; 40% to a sale around $16; 50% to a sale at a better price. No harm selling half so that from then on you’re playing with “the house’s money.” But if these are the true odds (as no one can ever know), they would argue for hanging on to at least half.

FORMULA INVESTING

I had lunch with Joel Greenblatt, whose four Formula Investing mutual funds I have recommended since their recent inception – FVVAX, FNSAX, FNVAX, and FNAAX. (Because they are not particularly tax efficient, they’re best suited for tax-deferred retirement accounts.) In addition to the case I make for them in the new edition of my investment guide, I learned something else: Joel has a talented team working full time to compile the underlying data his computer then crunches. He does this because, when examining the data he had been purchasing from a third party (and that other value-weighted index funds purchase), he found that his team could do it better, giving his funds yet another edge.

PARADIGM SHIFT

Everyone’s reading Jeremy Grantham’s latest quarterly letter, which he summarizes, “The world is using up its natural resources at an alarming rate, and this has caused a permanent shift in their value. We all need to adjust our behavior to this new environment. It would help if we did it quickly.” That is actually just the “summary of the summary.” Given Jeremy’s brilliance and track record, it’s well worth the click (and free registration).

Post navigation

← Taxes, Progress, and Censorship
BZ Is Up, Up Is Down →

Quote of the Day

"The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?"

David Sarnoff's associates on his advocacy of radio in the 1920s

Subscribe

 Advice

The Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need

"So full of tips and angles that only a booby or a billionaire could not benefit." -- The New York Times

Help

MYM Emergency?

Too Much Junk?

Tax Questions?

Ask Less

Recent Posts

  • Anyone? Anyone?

    July 11, 2025
  • "PAPERS PLEASE" -- Trump's Very Own Gigantic Police Force

    July 9, 2025
  • 5 Links And A Joke Walk Into A Bar

    July 8, 2025
  • There WAS No Cherry Tree

    July 7, 2025
  • "The Most Popular Bill Ever Signed In The History Of Our Country"

    July 6, 2025
  • Unbelievably Bad -- Literally

    July 4, 2025
  • Repeal The Steal

    July 2, 2025
  • Our Record-High Stock Market

    June 30, 2025
  • Stuffing The Goose

    June 30, 2025
  • Yes! (Plus A Bonus)

    June 29, 2025
Andrew Tobias Books
  • Facebook
  • Twitter
©2025 Andrew Tobias - All Rights Reserved | Website: Whirled Pixels | Author Photo: Tony Adams