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Andrew Tobias

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Andrew Tobias
Andrew Tobias

Money and Other Subjects

11.9% Guaranteed

July 20, 1999February 13, 2017

“I got curious about an ad in the LA Times for an ‘investment opportunity.’ It guaranteed 11.9% annual yield for a three-year period. Which seemed interesting as it beats present bond returns. And one might not be able to guarantee that in the stock market either. 🙂 I called, and they said they’d send a prospectus. They said it was good for IRA’s or plain investment. They said it was like a CD, but NOT insured. They said in ten years of business, they had never failed to return an investor’s principle. I believe they said it was a corporate investment note. Now. Is this a good thing? Or a stupid thing to do. Do you know of this kind of thing? Is it legit or not, and how risky?” — Tom Whitaker

Could be vaguely safe or VERY risky. It depends on what stands behind the guarantee. No one borrows at 11.9% who could borrow at 7%, and strong corporations borrow at 7%, not 11.9%. So the banks or commercial paper market have turned them down (or they’re idiots, which is not a strong recommendation, either). I would steer clear unless you knew this deal inside out, and could explain convincingly why it ISN’T too good to be true.

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"Money is a singular thing. It ranks with love as man’s greatest source of joy. And with death as his greatest source of anxiety. Over all history it has oppressed nearly all people in one of two ways: either it has been abundant and very unreliable, or reliable and very scarce."

John Kenneth Galbraith, The Age of Uncertainty

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